Meat and potatoes decision analysis is OK, but you are possibly missing the big upside of optionality in your evaluation. We will develop a case study and learn some critical elements as we conduct real-time the analysis that might impact our choices – picking the proper reference case, the impact of essential assumptions, how new information can give us optionality.
This will be a dialogue between Alex Sidorenko and Brian Putt. We will utilize an active DA model in SIPmath that we work to answer Alex’s questions as he develops optionality for his decision. Graphics will play a large part in explaining the value of optionality.
Join us for this unplanned journey into value of imperfect information.
Brian is currently a Decision Quality Consultant to assist organizations in making good decisions using probabilistic analysis. He maintains a YouTube Channel that include a number of instructional videos on Excel and SIPmath applications. After retirement from Chevron in 2016 he has volunteered with the non-profit Probability Management (www.probabilitymanagement.org) to promote Decision Quality using SIPmath.