RAW2020: Probability for Pragmatists

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/managing-irreducible-risks-through-portfolio-analysis-hedging-and-diversification/ The success of quantitative risk management rests on our ability to assess probabilities, but what is a probability anyway? How do you know if your assessments are any good and what does it even mean to say there’s a 50% chance of rain tomorrow? A pragmatic approach to these questions quickly takes us in… Continue reading RAW2020: Probability for Pragmatists

3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Risk management 2 shouldn’t be difficult. So I started on a quest to come up with a simple methodology for quantitative risk analysis that will actually improve decision making. This is still work in progress, so any comments and suggestions please send them to me or write below the article. Also don’t forget, RAW2020 is… Continue reading 3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

RAW2020: The Cat Insurance Puzzle: Why People insure their Cellphone but not their Home – Annette Hofmann

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/dr-annette-hofmann/ The cat insurance puzzle refers to the low or missing demand for high-severity-low-probability events, which is surprising given the high demand for low-value insurance products such as cell phone insurance policies. While the loss of a cellphone is usually an event of no or low consequence, the loss of a home to a family… Continue reading RAW2020: The Cat Insurance Puzzle: Why People insure their Cellphone but not their Home – Annette Hofmann

5 red flags 🚩when just starting to implement risk management

Ok, the title is obviously irony, because no organisation on the planet is ever “just” starting to implement risk management” or “starting from scratch”. Organisations have been making risk-based decisions since the inception. Often poorly, but that’s another point altogether. And yet, far too many job advertisements I see are looking risk specialists to build… Continue reading 5 red flags 🚩when just starting to implement risk management

5 red flags 🚩when hiring a risk manager

One of the biggest issues in the risk management profession is that many, way too many, people who have the title of risk manager are not really qualified to do the job. Many don’t even have the minimum required education. Imagine a doctor who vaguely remembers doing biology in year 9 high school. Well that’s… Continue reading 5 red flags 🚩when hiring a risk manager

94. Can we quantify any risk?

Alex Sidorenko from RISK-ACADEMY answers a question whether we can and should quantify every risk in non-financial companies. What do you think? – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – At RISK-ACADEMY we have compiled free videos of lectures, seminars and interviews with Russian risk managers, as… Continue reading 94. Can we quantify any risk?

Practical ideas: Select the risk governance model that best suits the current risk maturity level

The risk governance model depends on the management and shareholders’ expectations as well as on the risk manager’s competencies and on the resources available for risk management implementation. The risk governance model can be built based on the classical concept of three lines of defence: The 1st line of defence – Business units: executives, business… Continue reading Practical ideas: Select the risk governance model that best suits the current risk maturity level

Practical ideas: Promote risk management within and outside the company

Risk managers need to learn to be proud of their contribution to the overall success of the company. Once the company achieves positive results by managing certain risks to a high standard, it is up to the risk manager to share this success both internally and externally. This can be done by presenting at various… Continue reading Practical ideas: Promote risk management within and outside the company

Practical ideas: Consider establishing a Risk Management Committee at the management level or extend the mandate of the existing management committee

Most of the risk managers we have interviewed agreed that having a management level Risk Management Committee has a significant positive effect on the overall risk management culture. While the composition of the Risk Management Committee can vary from company to company, it should be sufficiently representative to ensure different points of view on risk… Continue reading Practical ideas: Consider establishing a Risk Management Committee at the management level or extend the mandate of the existing management committee