RAW2020: Why consider uncertainty? The value of knowing how little you know

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/why-consider-uncertainty-the-value-of-knowing-how-little-you-know/ What time should you leave to catch a plane flight? We all know intuitively to leave extra time for traffic and other uncertainties. But, how much time? Most risk analyses still ignore uncertainty, using single estimates of frequency and consequence. When is it worth the effort to estimate the uncertainties explicitly? I’ll introduce the… Continue reading RAW2020: Why consider uncertainty? The value of knowing how little you know

RAW2020: Using game theory to make better decisions – Paul Papayoanou

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/using-game-theory-to-make-better-decisions/ Many business decisions involve competitive risks or opportunities to cooperate in negotiations or partnerships. Yet traditional risk assessment methods are inadequate for understanding what decisions should be made in such situations. Game theory can help address this shortcoming. This workshop will review why and how game theory should be used to reduce uncertainty about… Continue reading RAW2020: Using game theory to make better decisions – Paul Papayoanou