Addressing the Failure of Risk Quantification: Moving from Speculating on Project Complexity to Actually Quantifying It

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/addressing-the-failure-of-risk-quantification-moving-from-speculating-on-project-complexity-to-actually-quantifying-it/ This report is based on the author’s recent book ‘Modern Risk Quantification in Complex Projects: Non-linear Monte Carlo and System Dynamics Methodologies’ published by Oxford University Press this year. Project practitioners and decision makers complain that both Monte Carlo and especially parametric methods fail to produce accurate project duration and cost contingencies in the… Continue reading Addressing the Failure of Risk Quantification: Moving from Speculating on Project Complexity to Actually Quantifying It

RAW2020: Leadership and the Future of Prediction -Prof. Diana Derval

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/leadership-risk-screening-and-public-health/ In this session, Prof. Derval will review following aspects of predictive systems: What can we predict? How to make an accurate prediction? Which experts and data can help? What is coming next in terms of predictive approaches? Main outcome is that: the same personas, in the same context behave in the same way. We… Continue reading RAW2020: Leadership and the Future of Prediction -Prof. Diana Derval