Risk management should help us make better decisions, not create more paperwork. Yet Principle 21 of COSO’s draft framework, while containing some good ideas, pushes companies toward the same old mistakes that have plagued risk management for years. Let me be clear: linking risk to strategy is smart. Looking at both threats and opportunities makes… Continue reading Critique of draft COSO Corporate Governance Framework: Principle 21
Tag: decision making under uncertainty
Stop avoiding the risk quantification elephant in the room
In a profession dedicated to identifying and managing uncertainty, there exists a puzzling contradiction: many managers actively avoid quantifying the very risks they’re tasked with. You probably know risk managers like that, we all do. While quantitative risk analysis forms the foundation of effective decision-making under uncertainty (see any textbook on decision science), it remains… Continue reading Stop avoiding the risk quantification elephant in the room
Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware
In my last post, I introduced you to the game-changing concept of flexible distributions. If you haven’t read it yet, do yourself a favour and check it out here: You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more. With flexible distributions, available on MakeDistribution, the distribution molds itself to fit your data… Continue reading Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware
