10 lessons risk managers should learn from Annie Duke’s Thinking in Bets

Every year I update my must read list for risk and insurance managers. Annie Duke’s Thinking in Bets is a new addition to my list. A risk manager on my team just finished reading it and he used RAW@AI to summarise they key points for risk professionals. Enjoy! 1. Life is poker, not chess Our… Continue reading 10 lessons risk managers should learn from Annie Duke’s Thinking in Bets

7 reasons you haven’t implemented quantitative risk management yet

In the wake of so many meltdowns, such as the 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the 2022 implosion of FTX cryptocurrency exchange, as well as events like the 2021 Archegos Capital Management collapse, the 2021 Suez Canal obstruction, and the far-reaching impacts of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, investigations have consistently revealed significant shortcomings… Continue reading 7 reasons you haven’t implemented quantitative risk management yet

Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware

In my last post, I introduced you to the game-changing concept of flexible distributions. If you haven’t read it yet, do yourself a favour and check it out here: You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more. With flexible distributions, available on MakeDistribution, the distribution molds itself to fit your data… Continue reading Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware

You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more

Let’s face it – one of the biggest excuses risk managers use to avoid quantitative analysis is the paralysis that comes from choosing the “right” probability distribution. The selection options in ModelRisk can make your head spin: Overwhelming, right? And that’s just one tool. The @RISK plugin also has over 90 distribution functions! It’s like being… Continue reading You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more

100 AI strategies that will transform your risk taking skills

We’ve hit an exciting milestone with the first 100 registrations for RISK AWARENESS WEEK 2024! To me, each registration represents a commitment to advancing risk management and decision-making . And to celebrate, I have prepared 100 ideas AI can transform your company and personal decision making. That’s right. A hundred ideas. Not bs, generic AI-generated… Continue reading 100 AI strategies that will transform your risk taking skills