3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Risk management 2 shouldn’t be difficult. So I started on a quest to come up with a simple methodology for quantitative risk analysis that will actually improve decision making. This is still work in progress, so any comments and suggestions please send them to me or write below the article. Also don’t forget, RAW2020 is… Continue reading 3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Absolute triumph for the quantitative risk analysis – part 3/3

Read this till the end. This is one of the best stories of risk management application in real life by some of the best risk managers I have ever met.  I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to… Continue reading Absolute triumph for the quantitative risk analysis – part 3/3

Skin in the game: can risk managers use their witchcraft to make money – part 2/3

I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to use ranges instead of single point planning… but then I thought… why bother… why not show how risk analysis helps make better risk based decisions instead? After all, this is… Continue reading Skin in the game: can risk managers use their witchcraft to make money – part 2/3

Skin in the game: if risk managers are so smart why are they not millionaires?

I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to use ranges instead of single point planning… but then I thought… why bother… why not show how risk analysis helps make better risk based decisions instead? After all, this is… Continue reading Skin in the game: if risk managers are so smart why are they not millionaires?

Risk management used to be a science, then it became an art, now it’s just bullsh@t

Latest views from Alex Sidorenko on how “innovation”, lack of business acumen and consultants are killing modern risk management in non-financial organizations. First there was science… Some sources suggest probability theory started in gambling and maritime insurance. In both cases the science was primarily used to help people and companies make better decision and hence… Continue reading Risk management used to be a science, then it became an art, now it’s just bullsh@t