Why every risk manager must be using Monte Carlo modelling to evaluate effect of risks

Given the uncertainties businesses have faced as result of the Covid-19 pandemic, it’s hardly surprising many are looking to improve how they do risk management. According to Duncan Harwood, managing director of 2020 Risk Management, introducing Monte Carlo simulation one of the best steps a business can take to improve its risk management processes. Giving… Continue reading Why every risk manager must be using Monte Carlo modelling to evaluate effect of risks

Absolute triumph for the quantitative risk analysis – part 3/3

Read this till the end. This is one of the best stories of risk management application in real life by some of the best risk managers I have ever met.  I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to… Continue reading Absolute triumph for the quantitative risk analysis – part 3/3

Skin in the game: can risk managers use their witchcraft to make money – part 2/3

I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to use ranges instead of single point planning… but then I thought… why bother… why not show how risk analysis helps make better risk based decisions instead? After all, this is… Continue reading Skin in the game: can risk managers use their witchcraft to make money – part 2/3

Skin in the game: if risk managers are so smart why are they not millionaires?

I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to use ranges instead of single point planning… but then I thought… why bother… why not show how risk analysis helps make better risk based decisions instead? After all, this is… Continue reading Skin in the game: if risk managers are so smart why are they not millionaires?

David Vose: The Perplexing Math of Uncertainty webinar

Quantitative risk analysis involves a wide range of skills and tasks that risk modelers need to have mastered before embarking on an important risk analysis of their own. Among the most over-looked and underestimated of these skills is knowledge of how to manipulate variables within Monte Carlo simulation models which is the standard modeling technique… Continue reading David Vose: The Perplexing Math of Uncertainty webinar