WATCH REPLAY: Benoit Ladouceur – Five distributions that will immediately improve your risk analysis

“It may sound like modelling is a nearly mythical experience where you need to have a firm grasp of arcane mathematics and hermetic financial models to do simulations, but that’s… Continue reading WATCH REPLAY: Benoit Ladouceur – Five distributions that will immediately improve your risk analysis

WATCH REPLAY: Torsten Röhner – Why probability is critical for meaningful financial modelling

Torsten Röhner, founder and managing director of Syconomic, demonstrates why financial models that do not account for probability are virtually meaningless. “Most innovations in financial modelling solve the wrong problem…… Continue reading WATCH REPLAY: Torsten Röhner – Why probability is critical for meaningful financial modelling

WATCH REPLAY: Duncan Harwood – Why every risk manager must be using Monte Carlo modelling to evaluate effect of risks

Given the uncertainties businesses have faced as result of the Covid-19 pandemic, it’s hardly surprising many are looking to improve how they do risk management. According to Duncan Harwood, managing… Continue reading WATCH REPLAY: Duncan Harwood – Why every risk manager must be using Monte Carlo modelling to evaluate effect of risks

3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Risk management 2 shouldn’t be difficult. So I started on a quest to come up with a simple methodology for quantitative risk analysis that will actually improve decision making. This… Continue reading 3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Absolute triumph for the quantitative risk analysis – part 3/3

Read this till the end. This is one of the best stories of risk management application in real life by some of the best risk managers I have ever met. … Continue reading Absolute triumph for the quantitative risk analysis – part 3/3

Skin in the game: can risk managers use their witchcraft to make money – part 2/3

I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to use ranges instead of single… Continue reading Skin in the game: can risk managers use their witchcraft to make money – part 2/3

Skin in the game: if risk managers are so smart why are they not millionaires?

I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to use ranges instead of single… Continue reading Skin in the game: if risk managers are so smart why are they not millionaires?

David Vose: The Perplexing Math of Uncertainty webinar

Quantitative risk analysis involves a wide range of skills and tasks that risk modelers need to have mastered before embarking on an important risk analysis of their own. Among the… Continue reading David Vose: The Perplexing Math of Uncertainty webinar

Risk management used to be a science, then it became an art, now it’s just bullsh@t

Latest views from Alex Sidorenko on how “innovation”, lack of business acumen and consultants are killing modern risk management in non-financial organizations. First there was science… Some sources suggest probability… Continue reading Risk management used to be a science, then it became an art, now it’s just bullsh@t