Compliance Risk Management – Risk identification

Every organisation is required to comply with laws within the countries it operates in, the legal and regulatory requirements vary between different regions adding to the need to have understanding and confidence in the risk management processes in place. Organisations face considerable uncertainty when making decisions and taking actions that may have significant compliance consequences.… Continue reading Compliance Risk Management – Risk identification

Alex Sidorenko – Why businesses and decision-makers must embrace Risk Management 2

One major flaw in the risk management industry is that the commonly adhered to standards and practices are built on theories that have no basis in scientific fact. Indeed, risk managers have become bogged down in appetite statements and risk registers which have little or no bearing on improving actual decision-making. But how have things… Continue reading Alex Sidorenko – Why businesses and decision-makers must embrace Risk Management 2

Doug Hubbard – The importance of having FrankenSMEs during risk identification or decision making

Doug Hubbard, owner of Hubbard Decision Research, explains why subject matter experts must be calibrated like any other measurement instrument. Do you calibrate your subject matter experts (SMEs)? If not, you’re missing a critical risk management method that would have led to better decision making for your organisation, says Doug Hubbard, the author of ‘How… Continue reading Doug Hubbard – The importance of having FrankenSMEs during risk identification or decision making

Duncan Harwood – Why every risk manager must be using Monte Carlo modelling to evaluate effect of risks

Given the uncertainties businesses have faced as result of the Covid-19 pandemic, it’s hardly surprising many are looking to improve how they do risk management. According to Duncan Harwood, managing director of 2020 Risk Management, introducing Monte Carlo simulation one of the best steps a business can take to improve its risk management processes. Giving… Continue reading Duncan Harwood – Why every risk manager must be using Monte Carlo modelling to evaluate effect of risks

Max Henrion – The wisdom of knowing how little you know

Speaking at Risk Awareness Week, Max Henrion founder and CEO of Lumina Decision Systems, described the power of uncertainty modelling and when risk managers should apply a stochastic lens for decision-making. When you’ve got to catch an early morning flight – how much time do you leave to get to the airport? This was the… Continue reading Max Henrion – The wisdom of knowing how little you know

45 risk management and decision making workshops available on demand

Every year I ask the best quant risk and decision making professionals I can find to share their models, simulations, methodologies and case studies with the public. We call it RISK AWARENESS WEEK and it runs for a week in October. Every year more than 3000 participants from 100+ countries take part and 2020 was… Continue reading 45 risk management and decision making workshops available on demand

Recommended pre-reading for the RAW2020 conference

RAW2020 is less than a month away and I wanted to share something valuable with you. During the conference you will hear many of the speakers talk about Risk Management 2 (RM2), decision science, decision quality, probability theory and other terms unfamiliar to many risk practitioners or business decision makers. These 3 things will help… Continue reading Recommended pre-reading for the RAW2020 conference

Your kids are not taught risk management at school, you have to do it

I wanted to start with some typical math problems in school: Two cars started from the same point, at 5 am, travelling in opposite directions at 40 and 50 mph respectively. At what time will they be 450 miles apart? At 9 am a car (A) began a journey from a point, travelling at 40 mph. At… Continue reading Your kids are not taught risk management at school, you have to do it

Why risk community rejects science, logic and common sense

First, I wanted to share an extract from the book I am reading at the moment Alchemy: The Dark Art and Curious Science of Creating Magic in Brands, Business, and Life The chapter is called “I Know It Works in Practice, but Does It Work in Theory? On John Harrison, Semmelweis and the Electronic Cigarette”… Continue reading Why risk community rejects science, logic and common sense

3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Risk management 2 shouldn’t be difficult. So I started on a quest to come up with a simple methodology for quantitative risk analysis that will actually improve decision making. This is still work in progress, so any comments and suggestions please send them to me or write below the article. Also don’t forget, RAW2020 is… Continue reading 3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision