When I moved from a multibillion dollar global fertiliser company to a ramping up rare earth mining company in Brazil, my operational risk team went from 9 to 3 people. I thought we would have to scale back on the risk management projects and the types of quant risk models our team built. But then,… Continue reading Whether you want to or not, AI will shape the future of risk management
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Try RAW@AI, probably the best risk management AI assistant on the planet
RAW@AI offers risk management and quantitative risk assessment support to help you make informed decisions. Our AI-powered set of tools simplifies complex risk management tasks, saving you time and effort. RAW@AI can do your research, identify risks, write perfect risk descriptions, break down complex risks and suggest mitigations, write risk management policies, quantify risks and… Continue reading Try RAW@AI, probably the best risk management AI assistant on the planet
3 Risk Management Ideas from the Future
I believe there are 3 things risk managers of the future will be doing. Today, most of you are doing number 1, some, very few, are doing number 2 and almost no one is doing number 3. Risk managers of the future will be spending 50% of their time on number 3, 49% of their… Continue reading 3 Risk Management Ideas from the Future
Risk managers, stop wasting your life doing RM1
Are you feeling frustrated and unappreciated in your role as a risk manager? Do you sense that your efforts aren’t making any impact on business performance? Are you ignored when important and risky decisions are being made? It’s time to confront the truth: ERM, or RM1 as I call it, is holding you back. This… Continue reading Risk managers, stop wasting your life doing RM1
7 reasons you haven’t implemented quantitative risk management yet
In the wake of so many meltdowns, such as the 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the 2022 implosion of FTX cryptocurrency exchange, as well as events like the 2021 Archegos Capital Management collapse, the 2021 Suez Canal obstruction, and the far-reaching impacts of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, investigations have consistently revealed significant shortcomings… Continue reading 7 reasons you haven’t implemented quantitative risk management yet
Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware
In my last post, I introduced you to the game-changing concept of flexible distributions. If you haven’t read it yet, do yourself a favour and check it out here: You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more. With flexible distributions, available on MakeDistribution, the distribution molds itself to fit your data… Continue reading Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware
You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more
Let’s face it – one of the biggest excuses risk managers use to avoid quantitative analysis is the paralysis that comes from choosing the “right” probability distribution. The selection options in ModelRisk can make your head spin: Overwhelming, right? And that’s just one tool. The @RISK plugin also has over 90 distribution functions! It’s like being… Continue reading You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more
Reframing everything you know about risk management in a 1.5 hours – watch the full video from RISK-IN conference in Zurich
Risk management is often framed as a separate discipline focused on managing risks through risk registers, heat maps, risk frameworks and qualitative risk reports. This is like confusing astronomy and astrology. Risk registers, heat maps, risk frameworks and qualitative risk reports have nothing to do with risk management, let alone risk based decision making. This… Continue reading Reframing everything you know about risk management in a 1.5 hours – watch the full video from RISK-IN conference in Zurich
100 AI strategies that will transform your risk taking skills
We’ve hit an exciting milestone with the first 100 registrations for RISK AWARENESS WEEK 2024! To me, each registration represents a commitment to advancing risk management and decision-making . And to celebrate, I have prepared 100 ideas AI can transform your company and personal decision making. That’s right. A hundred ideas. Not bs, generic AI-generated… Continue reading 100 AI strategies that will transform your risk taking skills
Never compare inherent to residual risk again
The concept of inherent risk originated in insurance where underwriters used Maximum Possible Loss (MPL) to determine the total value that could be lost in a catastrophic event. MPL considers the absolute worst-case scenario, with no controls in place, even if it’s highly unlikely to occur. The concept of considering the worst-case scenario loss has… Continue reading Never compare inherent to residual risk again
