3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Risk management 2 shouldn’t be difficult. So I started on a quest to come up with a simple methodology for quantitative risk analysis that will actually improve decision making. This is still work in progress, so any comments and suggestions please send them to me or write below the article. Also don’t forget, RAW2020 is… Continue reading 3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

The better alternative to “inherent” and “residual” risk concepts

Few things are certain in life: death, taxes and someone in the risk community asking about inherent and residual risks. In fact the question is so frequent that I even did a short video response: To most organisations inherent vs residual comparison is a way to measure potential risk mitigation effectiveness and the reduction in… Continue reading The better alternative to “inherent” and “residual” risk concepts

5 red flags 🚩when just starting to implement risk management

Ok, the title is obviously irony, because no organisation on the planet is ever “just” starting to implement risk management” or “starting from scratch”. Organisations have been making risk-based decisions since the inception. Often poorly, but that’s another point altogether. And yet, far too many job advertisements I see are looking risk specialists to build… Continue reading 5 red flags 🚩when just starting to implement risk management

5 red flags 🚩when hiring a risk manager

One of the biggest issues in the risk management profession is that many, way too many, people who have the title of risk manager are not really qualified to do the job. Many don’t even have the minimum required education. Imagine a doctor who vaguely remembers doing biology in year 9 high school. Well that’s… Continue reading 5 red flags 🚩when hiring a risk manager

3 steps to set corporate risk appetite

Ok, the title is obviously irony. If you have seen any of my posts you will know how sceptical I am of this management fad called risk appetite. I am actually old enough to remember when consultants started pushing this concept pretending it was both new and useful. Anyway, since the concept is unlikely to… Continue reading 3 steps to set corporate risk appetite

I wonder if anyone realises that implementing ERM is actually bad risk management

According to COSO ERM, “enterprise risk management” refers to the culture, capabilities, and practices, integrated with strategy-setting and performance, that organizations rely on to manage risk in creating, preserving, and realizing value. Sounds not too bad. In this article I will argue that doing this, or rather doing as COSO and most consultants and most… Continue reading I wonder if anyone realises that implementing ERM is actually bad risk management

30 practical steps to implement risk management 2. Follow these steps to integrate risk management into decision making, processes and culture

Over the last 15 years I have implemented risk management in hundreds of organisations across Europe, Australia and Middle East. Here is a step by step guide how I actually did it. May not work every time and some decision makers will ignore risks no matter what we do, but it did win the Best… Continue reading 30 practical steps to implement risk management 2. Follow these steps to integrate risk management into decision making, processes and culture

Forget about risk management. Measure the likelihood of success instead. #ChangingRisk

My friend, Norman Marks, has been talking about rebranding risk management for years. Norman calls for risk professionals to focus on enabling success rather than avoiding failure. I think this is brillian advice. A way to communicate risk management insights to executives and the Board is to talk about the likelihood of success.  Well, the… Continue reading Forget about risk management. Measure the likelihood of success instead. #ChangingRisk

Finally! An alternative to risk matrices

Ok, the title is obviously a joke, because the alternatives (multiple) have been available to anyone willing to learn for over 50 years. But since you clicked, this article will probably change your life for the better. Thank you Damir Ramazanov, Group Project Risk Manager, ERG for helping with the article and providing quality review. … Continue reading Finally! An alternative to risk matrices

If cognitive biases in decision making are a given, how do risk managers overcome them?

If we accept there is a cognitive bias in decision making, how can we as risk professionals account for this and help our senior executive make better bias-free decisions? Risk Academy’s Alex Sidorenko discusses. Originally published for Knowledge@StrategicRisk https://www.strategicrisk-asiapacific.com/the-knowledge/overcoming-cognitive-bias-in-senior-executives/1428016.article   The earliest psychometric research was performed by psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman (who later won a Nobel… Continue reading If cognitive biases in decision making are a given, how do risk managers overcome them?