A while back I went on a quest. I was trying to find what motivates risk managers. After a dozen interviews I am no closer to the answer but I think I got a pretty good grasp about what motivates me, Alex Sidorenko, as a risk manager. See if any of these resonate with you.… Continue reading What motivates risk managers?
Category: Risk management
7 reasons you haven’t implemented quantitative risk management yet
In the wake of so many meltdowns, such as the 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the 2022 implosion of FTX cryptocurrency exchange, as well as events like the 2021 Archegos Capital Management collapse, the 2021 Suez Canal obstruction, and the far-reaching impacts of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, investigations have consistently revealed significant shortcomings… Continue reading 7 reasons you haven’t implemented quantitative risk management yet
Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware
In my last post, I introduced you to the game-changing concept of flexible distributions. If you haven’t read it yet, do yourself a favour and check it out here: You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more. With flexible distributions, available on MakeDistribution, the distribution molds itself to fit your data… Continue reading Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware
You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more
Let’s face it – one of the biggest excuses risk managers use to avoid quantitative analysis is the paralysis that comes from choosing the “right” probability distribution. The selection options in ModelRisk can make your head spin: Overwhelming, right? And that’s just one tool. The @RISK plugin also has over 90 distribution functions! It’s like being… Continue reading You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more
Reframing everything you know about risk management in a 1.5 hours – watch the full video from RISK-IN conference in Zurich
Risk management is often framed as a separate discipline focused on managing risks through risk registers, heat maps, risk frameworks and qualitative risk reports. This is like confusing astronomy and astrology. Risk registers, heat maps, risk frameworks and qualitative risk reports have nothing to do with risk management, let alone risk based decision making. This… Continue reading Reframing everything you know about risk management in a 1.5 hours – watch the full video from RISK-IN conference in Zurich
100 AI strategies that will transform your risk taking skills
We’ve hit an exciting milestone with the first 100 registrations for RISK AWARENESS WEEK 2024! To me, each registration represents a commitment to advancing risk management and decision-making . And to celebrate, I have prepared 100 ideas AI can transform your company and personal decision making. That’s right. A hundred ideas. Not bs, generic AI-generated… Continue reading 100 AI strategies that will transform your risk taking skills
Never compare inherent to residual risk again
The concept of inherent risk originated in insurance where underwriters used Maximum Possible Loss (MPL) to determine the total value that could be lost in a catastrophic event. MPL considers the absolute worst-case scenario, with no controls in place, even if it’s highly unlikely to occur. The concept of considering the worst-case scenario loss has… Continue reading Never compare inherent to residual risk again
How AI is hijacking risk management jobs
Imagine you are building a world class risk management team for a non-financial company, who would you hire? In my risk management team I need a researcher, a decision analyst, a quant and a culture ambassador. The researcher I need someone to spend time scouring through reports, news articles, and regulatory updates to identify emerging… Continue reading How AI is hijacking risk management jobs
Risk managers, AI will replace you, if you don’t…
A study published in the Annals of Oncology found that a deep learning algorithm achieved a 95% accuracy rate in detecting melanoma from skin lesion images, outperforming a panel of 58 dermatologists whose average accuracy was 86.6%. In another study published in Nature, a deep learning system was able to identify breast cancer from mammograms… Continue reading Risk managers, AI will replace you, if you don’t…
Quant models overthrow traditional risk management: embrace or perish?
In my last job as a Head of operational risk and insurance, I needed a team of 3 quants to build risk models to support decisions, quantify expected losses and calculate expected shortfalls. In my current job, as Head of risk, insurance and internal audit, I can do all this with with 2 AI models,… Continue reading Quant models overthrow traditional risk management: embrace or perish?
