Overconfidence bias The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person’s subjective confidence in his or her judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. Throughout the research literature, overconfidence has been defined in three distinct ways: (1) overestimation of one’s actual performance; (2) […]
Cognitive biases every risk manager must know (part 1)
Overconfidence bias The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person’s subjective confidence in his or her judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. Throughout the research literature, overconfidence has been defined in three distinct ways: (1) overestimation of one’s actual performance; (2)… Continue reading Cognitive biases every risk manager must know (part 1)
The whole concept of risk-appetite is total nonsense
The concept of risk-appetite has been around for years, yet so many risk practitioners still find themselves confused and unsure how to quantify, formalize and document it. Well, the short answer is YOU DON’T NEED TO. There is a better way. First, disclaimers. The following article only applies to non-financial companies, just like everything else… Continue reading The whole concept of risk-appetite is total nonsense
FREE BOOK: Guide to effective risk management (150000+ downloads)
Risk management is ultimately about creating a culture that would facilitate risk discussion when performing business activities or making any strategic, investment or project decision. In this free book, Alex Sidorenko and Elena Demidenko talk about practical steps risk managers can take to integrate risk management into decision making and core business processes. Based on our research and the… Continue reading FREE BOOK: Guide to effective risk management (150000+ downloads)
5 reasons why internal audit may be the best place for the risk manager to sit
A while back I recorded a short video on the topic of risk management organizational structure in a non-financial company. In the video I discussed various options for risk manager’s place in the overall organizational structure. Since there is really no single right answer, the few common options include: reporting directly to the CEO, reporting… Continue reading 5 reasons why internal audit may be the best place for the risk manager to sit
Why risk management in SME is better than in large corporations
Couple of weeks ago I was very fortunate to host one of the roundtables during the FERMA risk seminar in Malta. I am very thankful for the opportunity because the experience of brainstorming for 45 mins with the representatives from various small and medium enterprises (SMEs) really highlighted some major problems with modern day risk… Continue reading Why risk management in SME is better than in large corporations
Building risk culture is easier than making hot dogs
Yes, building risk culture is that easy! Before I explain, let me first clear few weird misconceptions about risk culture that have been floating around in the non-financial companies: Making decisions under uncertainty is not natural for humans Back in 1970s scientists had a breakthrough in understanding how human brain works, what influences our decisions,… Continue reading Building risk culture is easier than making hot dogs
Gamification in Risk Management
Risk management business game 2014 In 2014 I collaborated with EY to develop Russia’s first risk management business game. It was great fun and as a result we created a pretty sophisticated business simulation. Participants were split into teams of 10, each person receiving a game card that describes their role (CEO, CFO, risk manager,… Continue reading Gamification in Risk Management
18 best risk management books (updated in 2023)
Welcome, risk professionals, to a carefully curated collection of must-read books that will elevate your risk management and decision-making skills to new heights. This article brings together the most influential and insightful texts in the field, providing you with a roadmap for expanding your knowledge, enhancing your professional expertise, and advancing your career. Divided into… Continue reading 18 best risk management books (updated in 2023)
Can risk management even be effective?
Lately, everyone, from the government agencies to regulators to corporate board members, seem to be talking about the need for better, more effective risk management. The challenging part is that, despite the guidance provided in ISO 31000:2009, the concept of risk management effectiveness still remains vague. This article attempts to summarize the basic components of… Continue reading Can risk management even be effective?
