Join industry professionals for the ProbabilityManagement.org
This year’s theme is Data, Decisions, and the Value of Information and we have a dynamic group of speakers lined up, including Doug Hubbard, author of the popular “How to Measure Anything” series; Dr. Allen Marr, Founder and CEO of Geocomp, a Boston area geotechnical engineering firm; and Keith Shepard of World Agroforestry (ICRAF) and Innovative Solutions for Decision Agriculture (ISDA).
These speakers and other pioneers in information economics and the internet of things will explore how the value of information calculations, decision analysis, and the intelligent acquisition of data are all improved by the discipline of probability management. View abstracts and speaker bios below and visit ProbabiliityManagement.
- Applying to Value of Information to IT Project Selection – Ann Dunkin, State and Local Government Chief Technology Officer, Dell
- Efficient Calculation of EVI with Monte Carlo – Lonnie Chrisman, Chief Technology Officer, Lumina Decision Systems
- Everything We Know is Wrong – Patrick Leach, Independent Strategy Consultant and Adjunct Professor, Colorado School of Mines
- The Failure of Risk Management – Doug Hubbard, Founder, Hubbard Decision Research and author of The Failure of Risk Management: Why It’s *Still* Broken and How to Fix It
- Farming Decisions Under Uncertainty – Keith Shepherd, Principal Scientist and Research Theme Leader World Agroforestry (ICRAF); Head of Diagnostics and Decision Science, Innovative Solutions for Decision Agriculture (ISDA); Chair of Agricultural Applications, Probability Management.org
- How Decision Quality Inoculates Against Uncertainty – Neil Hamlett, Founder and Principal, Uncertainty Management
- How Much is Someone Else’s Help Worth? Exploring Why the Value of Information Can Be a CIO’s Best Friend When Making Big Decisions – William W. Reed, Architect, Optiv Security
- How to Depict and Assess Risk Correctly – Doug Samuelson, InfoLogix, Inc.
- Information Economics and Stochastic Digital Twins – Steve Roemerman, Chair and CEO, Lone Star Analysis
- Measuring Model Uncertainty: Applications in Pricing Optimization and Wildfire Risks – Farshad Miraftab, Data Science Manager, PagerDuty
- Metalog Regression and Bayesian Inference – Tom Keelin, Partner, Keelin Reeds Partners and Chief Research Scientist, ProbabilityManagement.org
- Modeling and Measuring Readiness – How Ready Are We? – Shaun Doheney, Chief Analytics Officer, JDSAT and Chair of Resources and Readiness Applications, ProbabilityManagement.org
- Saving For a Rainy Day: Deciding How Much – Brenda Olwin, Finance Director, City of East Palo Alto, and Shayne Kavanagh, Senior Manager of Research, Government Finance Officers Association
- Stochastic Modeling of Biological Systems – David Cawlfield, Principal Engineer, Olin Corporation
- Transitioning to the Digital Factory at Lockheed Martin Aeronautics – Bryan Massie and Tony DeMarco
- Uncovering Value in Valves: Quantifying Monetary Consequence in Valves – Craig Daly, Subject Area Leader, Pure Technologies
- The Universal “Chance of Whatever” Button – Sam Savage, Director of ProbabilityManagement.org, author of The Flaw of Averages, and Adjunct Professor, Stanford University
- Using Value of Information to Decompose Systemic System Integration Schedule Risks – Brian Asti, Chief Engineer and Project Manager, Northrop Grumman, and Dan Harmeyer, AC4ISR Strategic Program Execution Manager, Northrop Grumman
- The Value of Information — Because There is Nothing Else – Sam Savage, Director of ProbabilityManagement.org, author of The Flaw of Averages, and Adjunct Professor, Stanford University
Check out other decision making books
RISK-ACADEMY offers online courses

Informed Risk Taking
Learn 15 practical steps on integrating risk management into decision making, business processes, organizational culture and other activities!

ISO31000 Integrating Risk Management
Alex Sidorenko, known for his risk management blog http://www.riskacademy.blog, has created a 25-step program to integrate risk management into decision making, core business processes and the overall culture of the organization.

Advanced Risk Governance
This course gives guidance, motivation, critical information, and practical case studies to move beyond traditional risk governance, helping ensure risk management is not a stand-alone process but a change driver for business.