RAW2020: Probability for Pragmatists

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/managing-irreducible-risks-through-portfolio-analysis-hedging-and-diversification/ The success of quantitative risk management rests on our ability to assess probabilities, but what is a probability anyway? How do you know if your assessments are any good and what does it even mean to say there’s a 50% chance of rain tomorrow? A pragmatic approach to these questions quickly takes us in… Continue reading RAW2020: Probability for Pragmatists

RAW2020: Introduction to using QRA for nefarious decision making.

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/risk-based-decision-making/ Matrix style risk analysis are sure to fail you when it really matters, such as when you plan a daring criminal venture. This quantitative risk assessment workshop is an introduction for people who are not risk analysts or for qualitative risk managers that are willing to dive in. We will tackle how we could… Continue reading RAW2020: Introduction to using QRA for nefarious decision making.

RAW2020: The Failure of Risk Management

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/the-failure-of-risk-management/ Choices to make for your company or organization can seem overwhelming at times and the answers to hard questions may seem impossible to find. Whether your uncertain decisions are in a small company assessing a critical market opportunity, a Fortune 100 company implementing an enterprise-wide process to prioritize an entire portfolio of projects, or… Continue reading RAW2020: The Failure of Risk Management

Why risk community rejects science, logic and common sense

First, I wanted to share an extract from the book I am reading at the moment Alchemy: The Dark Art and Curious Science of Creating Magic in Brands, Business, and Life The chapter is called “I Know It Works in Practice, but Does It Work in Theory? On John Harrison, Semmelweis and the Electronic Cigarette”… Continue reading Why risk community rejects science, logic and common sense

3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Risk management 2 shouldn’t be difficult. So I started on a quest to come up with a simple methodology for quantitative risk analysis that will actually improve decision making. This is still work in progress, so any comments and suggestions please send them to me or write below the article. Also don’t forget, RAW2020 is… Continue reading 3 steps to apply Monte-Carlo simulations to any investment project decision

Share your risk management story and win a free VIP pass to #RAW2020

Share your risk management story in the comments below and get a chance to win a free VIP pass to #RAW2020 (valued at $100): https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/ RAW2020 is dedicated to sharing and raising awareness. Help new risk managers, share your story. Tell us: how did you get into risk management? what are the 3 things you… Continue reading Share your risk management story and win a free VIP pass to #RAW2020

RAW2020: Leading in a VUCA World: What You Need to Succeed – Dr. Karen Hardy

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/leading-in-a-vuca-world-what-you-need-to-succeed/ There is a new skillset that will be needed by risk professionals in order to succeed in the post-COVID environment: known as the VUCA World! Organizations will be looking to risk professionals to deliver higher value that will go beyond the typical technical expertise of developing risk registers. Discover the missing skill a d… Continue reading RAW2020: Leading in a VUCA World: What You Need to Succeed – Dr. Karen Hardy

RAW2020: Agricultural Risk Analysis: art and science – Ariadna Berger

https://2020.riskawarenessweek.com/talks/agricultural-risk-analysis-art-and-science/ In Argentina we have been applying risk assessment and management concepts in farming for more than twenty years. Price and yield risk can be managed through diversification. Agricultural portfolios can be created by mixing different crops and/or different climate zones, soils and cultivation practices. We also apply risk management to reduce price risk through… Continue reading RAW2020: Agricultural Risk Analysis: art and science – Ariadna Berger

The better alternative to “inherent” and “residual” risk concepts

Few things are certain in life: death, taxes and someone in the risk community asking about inherent and residual risks. In fact the question is so frequent that I even did a short video response: To most organisations inherent vs residual comparison is a way to measure potential risk mitigation effectiveness and the reduction in… Continue reading The better alternative to “inherent” and “residual” risk concepts

5 red flags 🚩when just starting to implement risk management

Ok, the title is obviously irony, because no organisation on the planet is ever “just” starting to implement risk management” or “starting from scratch”. Organisations have been making risk-based decisions since the inception. Often poorly, but that’s another point altogether. And yet, far too many job advertisements I see are looking risk specialists to build… Continue reading 5 red flags 🚩when just starting to implement risk management