Real life application of quantitative risk analysis, an excellent case study

Can 17 risk managers double their money in just 2 days with no luck and using only quantitative risk analysis? Find out in this short case study. The problem  To test how well quantitative risk analysis performs I wanted a real life situations, where odds were known and the stakes were high. National lottery looked… Continue reading Real life application of quantitative risk analysis, an excellent case study

GRC & Me, Episode 6: Alexei Sidorenko – The most controversial risk thought leader?

Today, we are excited to have Alexei Sidorenko calling in from Spain to discuss industry-specific risk methodologies. Alexei has over 14 years of experience in private equity, sovereign funds, and investment authority—to name just a few of his domains. He shares everything from the exciting start of his career to his recent experience heading up… Continue reading GRC & Me, Episode 6: Alexei Sidorenko – The most controversial risk thought leader?

RISK AWARENESS WEEK – introducing our new logo

Say hello to RAW2019! Our risk-based decision making octopus :)) Why octopus? Well, couple of reasons: Just like an octopus using his tentacles, risk managers should integrate their practices into all significant decisions, business process and the overall culture of the organisation And once risk management is integrated, it should become almost invisible, integrate with… Continue reading RISK AWARENESS WEEK – introducing our new logo

Absolute triumph for the quantitative risk analysis – part 3/3

Read this till the end. This is one of the best stories of risk management application in real life by some of the best risk managers I have ever met.  I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to… Continue reading Absolute triumph for the quantitative risk analysis – part 3/3

Skin in the game: can risk managers use their witchcraft to make money – part 2/3

I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to use ranges instead of single point planning… but then I thought… why bother… why not show how risk analysis helps make better risk based decisions instead? After all, this is… Continue reading Skin in the game: can risk managers use their witchcraft to make money – part 2/3

Skin in the game: if risk managers are so smart why are they not millionaires?

I started writing yet another article trying to convince risk managers to grow their quant competencies, to integrate risk analysis into decision-making processes and to use ranges instead of single point planning… but then I thought… why bother… why not show how risk analysis helps make better risk based decisions instead? After all, this is… Continue reading Skin in the game: if risk managers are so smart why are they not millionaires?

#ChangingRisk – Gerenciamento de risco costumava ser uma ciência, depois virou uma arte e agora?

Últimas visões de Alex Sidorenko sobre como a “inovação”, falta de competências e os consultores estão matando o gerenciamento de riscos em organizações não-financeiras e o que vem por aí atualizado em 2019 especificamente para Strategicrisk https://www.strategic-risk-europe.com/risk-management-used-to-be-a-science-then-it-became-an-art-whats-next/1429754.article. Primeiro havia ciência… Algumas fontes sugerem que a teoria da probabilidade surgiu nas apostas e nos seguros marítimos. Em ambos… Continue reading #ChangingRisk – Gerenciamento de risco costumava ser uma ciência, depois virou uma arte e agora?

Is IIA secretly trying to kill risk management? Sometimes I wonder.

IIA recently published a Practice Guide on Assessing the Risk Management Process. It sounded interesting so I set aside some time to go through the document. Overall verdict The maturity model proposed by IIA has exactly the same fundamental flaws that all of the other 100+ consulting risk maturity models out there have. Plus, while… Continue reading Is IIA secretly trying to kill risk management? Sometimes I wonder.

The most inspirational story about risk management you will ever read ;)

Most of you know me as an obnoxious risk management blogger who is rude to anyone who uses heat-maps and risk registers as well as to people who think that running risk workshops and preparing quarterly risk reports is a good idea.  But there is a lot more to the story. Here is how me… Continue reading The most inspirational story about risk management you will ever read 😉

Best risk management resources. And they are totally free

Psychology of Intelligence Analysis Richards J. Heuer, Jr. This volume pulls together and republishes, with some editing, updating, and additions, articles written during 1978-86 for internal use within the CIA Directorate of Intelligence. Four of the articles also appeared in the Intelligence Community journal Studies in Intelligence during that time frame. The information is relatively timeless and… Continue reading Best risk management resources. And they are totally free