Warning! If you are using Palisade PrecisionTree together with @Risk using default settings the results are most likely inaccurate and missleading. Konstantin Dozhdikov discovered that if you leave the default settings in PrecisionTree, then use it in conjunction with @Risk, the results will be incorrect and unrealistic. I have tested this using different version of Palisade… Continue reading Warning when using Palisade PrecisionTree with @Risk
Tag: Risk Management And Insurance
3 fatal mistakes corporate risk managers make (part 2)
A while back I wrote an article about 3 fatal mistakes risk consultants make https://riskacademy.blog/2017/01/14/3-fatal-mistakes-most-risk-consultants-make. It made quite an impact and was republished in Australia, Canada, Singapore and Europe with dozens of thousands of views. I feel it’s only fair to write a follow up article about the 3 more mistakes that risk managers themselves… Continue reading 3 fatal mistakes corporate risk managers make (part 2)
3 fatal mistakes corporate risk managers still make (part 1)
A while back I wrote an article about 3 fatal mistakes risk consultants make https://riskacademy.blog/2017/01/14/3-fatal-mistakes-most-risk-consultants-make. It made quite an impact and was republished in Australia, Canada, Singapore and Europe with dozens of thousands of views. I feel it’s only fair to write a follow up article about the 3 more mistakes that risk managers themselves make.… Continue reading 3 fatal mistakes corporate risk managers still make (part 1)
allthingsrisk ep. 53: Alex Sidorenko – Making Great Decisions “With Risks in Mind”
When Ben Cattaneo started the All Things Risk podcast, he very deliberately stayed away from discussing the risk management profession (which is also my day-to-day profession). This is because he wanted the show to make risk and uncertainty concepts available to everyone. He didn’t want to make a podcast by risk professionals, for risk professionals.… Continue reading allthingsrisk ep. 53: Alex Sidorenko – Making Great Decisions “With Risks in Mind”
Full feedback on COSO ERM draft
Summary of comments STRUCTURED AND LOGICAL – I believe the content of any document, let alone an international guideline document, should be logically structured, should follow the MECE principle, shouldn’t have any unnecessary repetition or duplication. This was certainly not the case with the current COSO:ERM draft. Note to the authors. While the high level structure Applying the… Continue reading Full feedback on COSO ERM draft
Why do accountants and other professionals need better risk management competencies?
My original article posted at http://theaccountant.org.mt/why-do-accountants-and-other-professionals-need-better-risk-management-competencies Risk management competencies can significantly improve decision making in any profession. The bad news is that these competencies do not come to us naturally. They have to be developed. Even if you do not operate in a high risk, uncertain environment one should consider the extensive research, into what is… Continue reading Why do accountants and other professionals need better risk management competencies?
Cognitive biases every risk manager must know (part 3)
Overconfidence bias The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person’s subjective confidence in his or her judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. Throughout the research literature, overconfidence has been defined in three distinct ways: (1) overestimation of one’s actual performance; (2) […]
Cognitive biases every risk manager must know (part 2)
Overconfidence bias The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person’s subjective confidence in his or her judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. Throughout the research literature, overconfidence has been defined in three distinct ways: (1) overestimation of one’s actual performance; (2) […]
Cognitive biases every risk manager must know (part 1)
Overconfidence bias The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person’s subjective confidence in his or her judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. Throughout the research literature, overconfidence has been defined in three distinct ways: (1) overestimation of one’s actual performance; (2)… Continue reading Cognitive biases every risk manager must know (part 1)
FREE BOOK: Guide to effective risk management (150000+ downloads)
Risk management is ultimately about creating a culture that would facilitate risk discussion when performing business activities or making any strategic, investment or project decision. In this free book, Alex Sidorenko and Elena Demidenko talk about practical steps risk managers can take to integrate risk management into decision making and core business processes. Based on our research and the… Continue reading FREE BOOK: Guide to effective risk management (150000+ downloads)
