When uncertainty becomes a competitive advantage rather than a compliance exercise Risk management delivers hard cash savings when it quantifies uncertainty in operational and financial decisions. Organizations that integrate probabilistic thinking into credit management, operations, capital allocation, and insurance purchasing consistently reduce losses, free up trapped capital, and outperform competitors still relying on ERM nonsense.… Continue reading How Risk Management Creates Immediate Economic Value
Tag: Risk management
Stop avoiding the risk quantification elephant in the room
In a profession dedicated to identifying and managing uncertainty, there exists a puzzling contradiction: many managers actively avoid quantifying the very risks they’re tasked with. You probably know risk managers like that, we all do. While quantitative risk analysis forms the foundation of effective decision-making under uncertainty (see any textbook on decision science), it remains… Continue reading Stop avoiding the risk quantification elephant in the room
Try RAW@AI, probably the best risk management AI assistant on the planet
RAW@AI offers risk management and quantitative risk assessment support to help you make informed decisions. Our AI-powered set of tools simplifies complex risk management tasks, saving you time and effort. RAW@AI can do your research, identify risks, write perfect risk descriptions, break down complex risks and suggest mitigations, write risk management policies, quantify risks and… Continue reading Try RAW@AI, probably the best risk management AI assistant on the planet
RISK-ACADEMY’s guide on risk reporting to the Board
Every decision you make comes with its own set of risks, and waiting until the next quarterly review to address them can leave your projects exposed. This guide is built on the idea that risk analysis should be embedded into every decision you make, not just as a periodic exercise to update an enterprise risk… Continue reading RISK-ACADEMY’s guide on risk reporting to the Board
3 Risk Management Ideas from the Future
I believe there are 3 things risk managers of the future will be doing. Today, most of you are doing number 1, some, very few, are doing number 2 and almost no one is doing number 3. Risk managers of the future will be spending 50% of their time on number 3, 49% of their… Continue reading 3 Risk Management Ideas from the Future
Risk managers, stop wasting your life doing RM1
Are you feeling frustrated and unappreciated in your role as a risk manager? Do you sense that your efforts aren’t making any impact on business performance? Are you ignored when important and risky decisions are being made? It’s time to confront the truth: ERM, or RM1 as I call it, is holding you back. This… Continue reading Risk managers, stop wasting your life doing RM1
Guide to inherent and residual risk
This guide covers the evolution and application of the concept of inherent risk, originally rooted in insurance practices. In the past, underwriters used Maximum Possible Loss (MPL) to assess potential catastrophic losses, focusing on worst-case scenarios. However, this approach was highly theoretical and often unrealistic. Over time, insurers transitioned to Estimated Maximum Loss (EML), which… Continue reading Guide to inherent and residual risk
7 reasons you haven’t implemented quantitative risk management yet
In the wake of so many meltdowns, such as the 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the 2022 implosion of FTX cryptocurrency exchange, as well as events like the 2021 Archegos Capital Management collapse, the 2021 Suez Canal obstruction, and the far-reaching impacts of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, investigations have consistently revealed significant shortcomings… Continue reading 7 reasons you haven’t implemented quantitative risk management yet
Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware
In my last post, I introduced you to the game-changing concept of flexible distributions. If you haven’t read it yet, do yourself a favour and check it out here: You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more. With flexible distributions, available on MakeDistribution, the distribution molds itself to fit your data… Continue reading Flexible distribution is better than Triangular or PERT, project managers and cyber risk beware
You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more
Let’s face it – one of the biggest excuses risk managers use to avoid quantitative analysis is the paralysis that comes from choosing the “right” probability distribution. The selection options in ModelRisk can make your head spin: Overwhelming, right? And that’s just one tool. The @RISK plugin also has over 90 distribution functions! It’s like being… Continue reading You don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any more
